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Arielle Selya, PhD

Consultant Scientist



Postgraduate Training System Dynamics Modeling
System Dynamics Programme, University of Bergen

Postdoctoral Fellowship;
NRSA Fellowship, Laboratory of Dr. Lisa Dierker
Psychology Department, Wesleyan University

Ph.D. Neuroscience
Rutgers University

B.A. Physics
Cornell University



Assistant Scientist, CoBRE Project Leader, Behavioral Sciences Group;
Director, Data Exchange
Selya Lab, Sanford Research

Adjunct Associate Professor Pediatrics Department, Univeristy of South Dakota Sanford School of Medicine

Assistant Professor Master of Public Health Program, Department of Population Health, Univeristy of North Dakota School of Medicine & Health Sciences

Visiting Assistant Professor;
Research Associate
Psychology Department, Wesleyan University

Select Publications (of 51)

Selya, A.S., Shiffman, S., Greenberg, M., Augustson, E.M. (2021) Dual Use of Cigarettes and JUUL: Trajectory and Cigarette Consumption. American Journal of Health Behavior. Available:

Selya, A.S., Foxon, F. (2021) Trends in Electronic Cigarette Use and Conventional Smoking: Quantifying a Possible “Diversion” Effect among U.S. Adolescents. Addiction. Available:

Selya, A.S., Rose, J.S., Dierker, L.C., Mermelstein, R.J. (2012) A practical guide to calculating Cohen’s f2, a measure of local effect size, from PROC MIXED. Frontiers in Psychology. Available:

Foxon, F. & Selya, A.S. (2020). Electronic Cigarettes, Nicotine Use Trends, and Use Initiation Ages among US Adolescents from 1999–2018. Addiction. Available:

Sooyong, K. & Selya, A.S. (2020). The relationship between electronic cigarette use and conventional cigarette smoking is largely attributable to shared risk factors. Nicotine and Tobacco Research. Available:

Full bibliography on PubMed


Selya, A.S. (2021) Testing ecigarette gateway vs diversion scenarios against reality using sim-modeling. Video presentation at the Global Forum on Nicotine. Virtual. Available:

Foxon, F. & Selya, A.S. (2020). Electronic Cigarettes as a Method of Harm Reduction at the Population Level. Poster presentation at the Annual Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco (SRNT) Conference. New Orleans.

Foxon, F. & Selya, A.S. (2019). Is Vaping a Gateway to Cigarettes? A Simulation Approach. Poster presentation at the Annual Sanford Research Summer Research Symposium. South Dakota.

Public Engagement

Selya, A.S., Foxon, F. (2021) Response to Proposed Changes to the Netherland’s Tobacco and Tobacco Products Decree. Available:

Selya, A.S., (2021) Tweetorial on modeling e-cigarette harm reduction policies,

Selya, A.S., (2021) Tweetorial on quantifying e-cigarette diversion effect,

Media Appearances

E-cigarettes aren’t a ‘gateway’ to teen smoking, study says (2019). CNN. Available:

E-cigarettes aren’t a gateway to teen smoking, study says, Study Shows (2019). Fox. Available:

People Who Vape Probably Would Have Smoked Cigarettes Anyway, Study Shows (2019). Vice. Available:

Study finds teen vaping probably doesn’t lead to smoking (2019). EurekAlert. Available:

San Francisco pushes on with vape ban; Hungary starts to tighten the law (2019). VapingPost. Available:

Sanford researcher says vaping not a gateway to smoking (2019). Keloland. Available:

Contact and Socials


Twitter: @ArielleSelya

ORCID: 0000-0001-7026-6988

ResearchGate: Arielle_Selya

Google Scholar: Arielle Selya

PubMed Bibliography: Arielle Selya