ArielleSelya
Arielle Selya, PhD
Consultant Scientist
Employment
Disclosures: Through Pinney Associates, I provide consulting services on tobacco harm reduction to JUUL Labs, Inc. I also consult to CoEHAR at University of Catania, which received funding from the Foundation for a Smokefree World (FSFW; now Global Action to End Smoking (GA)).
Scientist
PinneyAssociates
2020–Present
Consultant
Center of Excellence for the Acceleration of Harm Reduction (CoEHAR), University of Catania
2024-Present
Assistant Scientist, CoBRE Project Leader, Behavioral Sciences Group;
Director, Data Exchange
Selya Lab, Sanford Research
2018–2021
Adjunct Associate Professor
Pediatrics Department, Univeristy of South Dakota Sanford School of Medicine
2018–Present
Assistant Professor
Master of Public Health Program, Department of Population Health, Univeristy of North Dakota School of Medicine & Health Sciences
2014-2019
Visiting Assistant Professor;
Research Associate
Psychology Department, Wesleyan University
2012-2014
Education
Postgraduate Training System Dynamics Modeling
System Dynamics Programme, University of Bergen
2019-present
Postdoctoral Fellowship;
NRSA Fellowship, Laboratory of Dr. Lisa Dierker
Psychology Department, Wesleyan University
2010-2014
Ph.D. Neuroscience
Rutgers University
2005-2011
B.A. Physics
Cornell University
2001-2005
Select Publications (of 63)
Selya, A, Ruggieri, M., Polosa, R. (2024). Measures of youth e-cigarette use: Strengths, weaknesses, and recommendations. Frontiers in Public Health, Vol 12, 2024. Available: https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/public-health/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2024.1412406/full
Selya, A. The “gateway” hypothesis: Evaluation of evidence and alternative explanations. (2024). Harm Reduction Journal 21 (113). Available: https://harmreductionjournal.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12954-024-01034-6
Selya, A, Wissmann, R., Shiffman, S., Chandra, S., Sembower, M., Joselow, J., Kim, S. (2023). Higher sales of electronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS) in the US are associated with cigarette sales declines, according to a trend break analysis. Journal of Consumer Policy. Available: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10603-022-09533-4
Kim, S., Goldenson, N.I., Selya, A., Shiffman, S. (2024). Switching away from smoking and reduction in cigarette consumption among US adult purchasers of the JUUL System across 24 months including diverse subpopulations disproportionately affected by smoking. Nicotine & Tobacco Research. Available: https://doi.org/10.1093/ntr/ntae072
Hajat, C., Stein, E., Selya, A., Polosa, R., CoEHAR Study Group. (2022). Analysis of common methodological flaws in the highest cited e-cigarette epidemiology research. Internal and Emergency Medicine. Available: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11739-022-02967-1
Selya, A.S., Foxon, F. (2021) Trends in electronic cigarette use and conventional smoking: Quantifying a possible “diversion” effect among U.S. adolescents. Addiction. Available: https://doi.org/10.1111/add.15385
Sooyong, K. & Selya, A.S. (2020). The relationship between electronic cigarette use and conventional cigarette smoking is largely attributable to shared risk factors. Nicotine and Tobacco Research. Available: https://doi.org/10.1093/ntr/ntz157
Selya, A.S., Rose, J.S., Dierker, L.C., Mermelstein, R.J. (2012) A practical guide to calculating Cohen’s f2, a measure of local effect size, from PROC MIXED. Frontiers in Psychology. Available: https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2012.00111
Full bibliography on PubMed
Selected Presentations
Rating the Evidence - Good and Bad Science. Panel discussion at the annual Global Forum on Nicotine, Warsaw, Poland, June 2024.
The State Frontier: Taxes, Bans, & Product Regulation. Panel discussion at the annual meeting of the Tobacco Manufacturers Association, Arlington, VA, April 2024.
Rising uptake of alternative nicotine products (ANPs) by smoking-naive individuals is not necessarily a threat to public health: The case of diversion by snus in Norway. Poster presentation at the annual meeting of the Society for Research on Nicotine & Tobacco, Edinburgh, Scotland, March 2024. Poster available: https://osf.io/preprints/osf/tzdq2
Selective Reporting, Confirmation Bias, and Spin in Scientific Articles. Oral presentation at the annual Global Forum on Nicotine, Warsaw, Poland, June 2023.
Switching Away from Cigarettes Using Tobacco- and Menthol-Flavored JUUL, among Adults who Smoke Menthol vs. Non-Menthol Cigarettes. Oral presentation at the 76th annual Tobacco Science Research Conference, Norfolk, VA, September 2023.
Counterfactual Trend Modeling to Examine How Youth Smoking Trends Changed during the E-Cigarette Era. Poster presentation at the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco - Europe Chapter, London, England, September 2023.
Testing E-Cigarette Gateway vs Diversion Scenarios against Reality Using Simulation Modeling. Video presentation at the Global Forum on Nicotine. Virtual, June 2021. Available: https://youtu.be/VgRn4BEz108
Other Scientific Engagement
Twitter/X Threads on Scientific Articles, (2021-present) Master Thread
Selya, A. (2024). More caution in conclusions is warranted due to the methodological artifact in NYTS 2021. Post-publication criticism on PubPeer. Available: https://pubpeer.com/publications/E128EE4F19CD39411FAFDDB6A88FED
Selya, A. (2024). On the plausibility and scope of the hypothesized gateway effect. Post-publication criticism on PubPeer. Available: https://pubpeer.com/publications/EAD2B506813B485178822E76F2377F
Selya, A. (2024). Key results are attributed to a well-documented methodological artifact in NYTS 2021. Post-publication criticism on PubPeer. Available: https://pubpeer.com/publications/DEF986999C6287FCD8FD4048A0B8EE
Selya, A., Gitchel, J.G., Foxon, F., Sembower, M.A., Niaura, R. (2024). Concerns about joinpoint analysis and state-level analyses. Post-publication criticism on PubPeer. Available: https://pubpeer.com/publications/A21E464F1BA2A64B02D7ABF3A88965
Selya, A. & Cummings, M.K. (2023). Reduced risk claim for smokeless tobacco: A deterrent effect for tobacco-naive youth? Post-publication criticism on PubPeer. Available: https://pubpeer.com/publications/A21E464F1BA2A64B02D7ABF3A88965
Selya, A.S., Foxon, F. (2021) Response to Proposed Changes to the Netherland’s Tobacco and Tobacco Products Decree. Available: https://www.internetconsultatie.nl/smaakjes/reactie/366b7013-8ee6-4411-bbba-f004509cbb7a
Media Appearances
Confounding Science: Inside Look at Flawed Nicotine & Tobacco Research. (2024). Interview with Brent Stafford at RegWatch. Available: https://regulatorwatch.com/brent_stafford/confounding-science-inside-look-at-flawed-nicotine-tobacco-research-regwatch/
Deja Vu: Insights on Youth Use from JUUL Researcher. (2024). GFN TV Interview with Brent Stafford. Available: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QWiLOX6NKy4
E-Cigarettes Aren’t a Gateway to Teen Smoking, Study Says (2019). Fox. Available: https://fox2now.com/news/e-cigarettes-arent-a-gateway-to-teen-smoking-study-says/
People Who Vape Probably Would Have Smoked Cigarettes Anyway, Study Shows (2019). Vice. Available: https://www.vice.com/en/article/ywajgk/people-who-vape-probably-would-have-smoked-cigarettes-anyway-study-shows
Study Finds Teen Vaping Probably Doesn’t Lead to Smoking (2019). EurekAlert. Available: https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/626650
San Francisco Pushes on with Vape Ban (2019). VapingPost. Available: https://www.vapingpost.com/2019/06/23/san-francisco-pushes-on-with-vape-ban-hungary-starts-to-tighten-the-law/
Sanford researcher says vaping not a gateway to smoking (2019). Keloland. Available: https://www.keloland.com/news/local-news/sanford-researcher-says-vaping-not-a-gateway-to-smoking/
Contact and Socials
Email: aselya@pinneyassociates.com
Twitter/X: @ArielleSelya
ORCID: 0000-0001-7026-6988